week 7: Louisville vs. boston college preview, prediction
By Mike Gilpatrick October 13th, 2017
Louisville WR Charles Standberry scores a touchdown against Murray State September 30th, 2017. Louisville won the game 55-10. Photo by Jared Anderson, River City Cards
Cards look to get back on track in potential trap game
Last week was a letdown. The Cards laid an egg on the road to an outstanding NC State Wolfpack; leading to their exit in the AP Top 25. Now, after a long week, the Cards look to get back on track with a win against 2-4 Boston College. The game is at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium at noon. It's also Louisville's homecoming game.
Previewing the Golden Eagles
There’s a reason Boston College is 2-4. They average a negative point spread; scoring 12 fewer points than their opponents. The Eagles rank 70th in rushing offense, and 112th in passing. Their top scorer is junior placekicker Colton Lichtenberg; with seven field goals. Junior running back Jon Hilliman has the leading touchdown scorer, with four.
Hilliman and Dillon head up BC’s rushing attack, rushing for more than 55 yards each per game. The rushing attack averages 158.2 yards. Hilliman and Dillon have two rushing touchdowns each, the only touchdowns scored for BC’s rushing unit.
The Passing unit is about the same. BC has two players tied for the lead, RB Hilliman and Senior WR Charlie Callinan. Both players have scored two TDs. BC averages 164.3 yards passing.
The key passer is Freshman QB Anthony Brown. He’s completed 102 of 192 attempts for 909 yards. He has thrown six touchdowns. Brown also has trouble with picks- he’s thrown six so far.
Boston College also has the 94th defense, allowing 416 yards, and 28 points per game.
How the game will play out
In short, Boston College is not very good. On paper, The Cards should have no problem whatsoever putting away The Eagles. Unfortunately, this game will be more like Purdue than Kent state. Louisville should win easily, but have problems defensively against Power-five teams. With Florida State next week, this game could be a trap game.
I can see two possibilities: The first, if Louisville is able to stop BC, is Jackson only playing for the first half, and handing the ball to Jawon Pass. The second, if the game is close, is this game being tied in the fourth, and a lot closer of a final than the odds project.
I’ll take a mix of the two. It’ll be a decent performance, just not a great one. Louisville QB Lamar Jackson will connect with freshman WR Dez Fitzpatrick for at least six receptions, and at least one touchdown. Jackson will also rush for over 100 yards.
With a long week of rest, this will be an easy-ish game for Louisville. I predict Louisville will get within one win of bowl eligibility, and walk away with the win.